We are pleased to announce that TARG researcher Salman Nazir contributed as co-author to the article “Use of evidential reasoning for eliciting Bayesian subjective probabilities in human reliability analysis: a maritime case published in Ocean Engineering, An International Journal of Research and Development

Ocean Engineering provides a medium for the publication of original research and development work in the field of ocean engineering. 

Highlights of the article.

  • Identify the shortcomings of traditional human reliability analysis methods in maritime applications.
  • Develop a quantitative human reliability analysis method using fuzzy Bayesian evidential reasoning.
  • Rationalise subjective probability distribution in BNs to realise marine engineers’ failures under uncertainty.
  • Demonstrate advantages of the new risk model through a real case analysis.

The final version – containing full bibliographic details – is now available online.